Techstar
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 78
Penn National · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Penn National | Leonardo Corujo | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | Leonardo Corujo | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | Leonardo Corujo | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | Leonardo Corujo | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | Leonardo Corujo | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 14/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |