2
Close Call
6yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 74
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Remington Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Remington Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Remington Park | David Cabrera | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Remington Park | Freddy Manrrique | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Remington Park | Freddy Manrrique | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Oaklawn Park | Abel Cedillo | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 87/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |