5
Ihavetoomuchair
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 77
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Remington Park | Lane Luzzi | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Remington Park | Lane Luzzi | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | Lane Luzzi | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lone Star | David Cabrera | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Lone Star | Mario Fuentes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Remington Park | David Cabrera | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |