Nacho Bar
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 75
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Remington Park | Ronnie Huckaby | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Remington Park | Ronnie Huckaby | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Will Rogers Downs | Alberto Pusac | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-01-12 | Will Rogers Downs | Alfredo Jr Triana | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Oaklawn Park | Walter De La Cruz | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Remington Park | Richard Eramia | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 21/12/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 02/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |