1
Pollito Tito
4yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 73
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Remington Park | Cassidy Fletcher | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Remington Park | Belen Quinonez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Remington Park | Stewart Elliott | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lone Star | Erik Asmussen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lone Star | Erik Asmussen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sam Houston Race Park | Stewart Elliott | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 02/10/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/10/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |