5

Awesome Olga

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 59

Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS9/05C6C6 @ Santa Anita 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 54 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 54 par5/06C6OR 54C9 @ Del Mar 24/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 57 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 57 par24/08C9OR 57C9 @ Santa Anita 25/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 44 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 44 par25/09C9OR 44C9 @ Santa Anita 24/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 51 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark24/10/2026 · OR 51 par24/10C9OR 51projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-24Santa AnitaArmando Aguilar?6th6th0
2026-09-25Santa AnitaArmando Aguilar?4th4th0
2026-08-24Del MarTyler Baze?10th10th0
2026-06-05Santa AnitaVictor Espinoza?6th3rd+3
2026-05-09Santa AnitaVictor Espinoza?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/055/0624/0825/0924/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
05/06/20266th25/10%0%0.00
24/08/202610th50/10%0%0.00
25/09/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
24/10/20266th40/10%29%+0.29