6

Grape Juice Too

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 70

Santa Anita · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Santa Anita 23/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12223/01C9C9 @ Santa Anita 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 45 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 45 parC9 @ Santa Anita 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 57 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 57 par2/05C9OR 57C9 @ Santa Anita 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 60 parC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 66 par21/06C9OR 66C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 66 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 66 parC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 6f 120 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 70 par13/09C9OR 70C9 @ Santa Anita 25/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 69 par25/09C9OR 69projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Santa AnitaArmando Ayuso?5th5th0
2026-09-13Los Alamitos RacecourseEdgar Payeras?3rd3rd0
2026-07-05Los Alamitos RacecoursePedro Flores?4th1st+3
2026-06-21Los Alamitos RacecoursePedro Flores?3rd3rd0
2026-05-30Santa AnitaPedro Flores?5th5th0
2026-05-02Santa AnitaLeonel Camacho Flores?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0130/0513/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20267th25/10%0%0.00
03/04/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
02/05/20264th33/10%67%+0.67
30/05/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
21/06/20263rd40/10%80%+0.80
05/07/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
13/09/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
25/09/20265th20/10%20%+0.20