6

Clouseau

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 110

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

1/2

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 103 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 103 par24/05C5OR 103C5 @ Del Mar 03/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 108 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 108 parC6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 106 · 1m Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 106 par7/09C6OR 106C7 @ Santa Anita 06/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 111 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 111 parBHA110 @ Del Mar 31/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 110 · 1m 125 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 110 par31/10110OR 110C7 @ Santa Anita 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 106 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 106 parC7 @ Santa Anita 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 105 par12/06C7OR 105C6 @ Del Mar 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 107 · 1m Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 107 parC6 @ Santa Anita 26/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 112 · 6f110y Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 112 par26/09C6OR 112projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Santa AnitaUmberto Rispoli?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-23Del MarA Fresu?2nd1st+1
2026-06-12Santa AnitaKazushi Kimura?2nd2nd0
2026-05-16Santa AnitaHector Berrios?1st1st0
2025-10-31Del MarUmberto RispoliBHA1104th9th−5
2025-10-06Santa AnitaUmberto Rispoli?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/056/1012/0626/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength92%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20254th15/261%50%-0.11
03/08/20256th12/137%44%+0.08
07/09/20253rd9/153%75%+0.22
06/10/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
31/10/20254th10/147%70%+0.23
16/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
12/06/20262nd2/189%83%-0.06
23/08/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
26/09/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27