5

Majestic Palisades

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 99

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Santa Anita 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 95 par7/03C7OR 95C6 @ Santa Anita 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 97 parC6 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 99 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 99 par24/05C6OR 99C7 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 102 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 100 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 100 par5/07C6OR 100C6 @ Del Mar 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Del Mar 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 101 par21/08C6OR 101C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 101 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 101 parC8 @ Santa Anita 02/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 98 · 1m 124 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 98 par2/10C8OR 98projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Santa AnitaArmando Aguilar?3rd4th−1
2026-09-19Los Alamitos RacecourseArmando Aguilar?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-21Del MarJoel Rosario?7th6th+1
2026-07-24Del MarJoel Rosario?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-05Los Alamitos RacecourseArmando Aguilar?4th3rd+1
2026-06-28Los Alamitos RacecourseJoel Rosario?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0328/0621/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength9%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
25/04/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
24/05/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
28/06/20264th1/195%25%-0.70
05/07/20264th3/184%57%-0.27
24/07/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
21/08/20267th7/282%25%-0.57
19/09/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
02/10/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07