4

Rodrigoknows

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 101

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 23/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 103 · 1m1f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/03/2025 · OR 103 par23/03C6OR 103C6 @ Santa Anita 27/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 100 · 1m Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2025 · OR 100 parC6 @ Santa Anita 31/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 102 par31/05C6OR 102C5 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 102 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 102 parC6 @ Del Mar 20/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 105 · 1m3f Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2025 · OR 105 par20/07C6OR 105C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 107 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 107 parC6 @ Del Mar 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 105 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 105 par18/07C6OR 105C6 @ Del Mar 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Santa Anita 03/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 99 · 6f Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 99 par3/10C6OR 99projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Santa AnitaEmisael Jaramillo?1st0th+1
2026-08-21Del MarKazushi Kimura?1st0th+1
2026-07-18Del MarKyle Frey?5th4th+1
2026-06-26Los Alamitos RacecourseKyle Frey?4th3rd+1
2025-07-20Del MarKyle Frey?5th4th+1
2025-06-21Los Alamitos RacecourseKyle Frey?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0321/0618/073/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
27/04/20253rd5/174%67%-0.07
31/05/20255th13/266%43%-0.23
21/06/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
20/07/20255th20/10%50%+0.50
26/06/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
18/07/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
21/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
03/10/20261st15/261%100%+0.39