
Rodrigoknows
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Santa Anita | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kyle Frey | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kyle Frey | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 27/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 31/05/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/10/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |