4
Cullen J
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 100
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Santa Anita | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Del Mar | Antonio Fresu | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Santa Anita | Hector Berrios | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Del Mar | Antonio Fresu | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-21 | Santa Anita | Antonio Fresu | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Santa Anita | Antonio Fresu | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 78/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 04/10/2024 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 15/11/2024 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 18/01/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/03/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |