6

Jimmy Blue Jeans
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 98
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Santa Anita | J R Leparoux | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kyle Frey | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | Kyle Frey | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 16/10/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |