1

Sogno Di Vino

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 101

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 29/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 118 · beat its mark29/06/2025 · OR 90 par29/06C6OR 90C6 @ Del Mar 03/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 94 parC6 @ Del Mar 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 98 · 1m 119 · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 98 par24/08C6OR 98C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m 118 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 102 parC5 @ Santa Anita 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 94 · 6f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 94 par15/06C5OR 94C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m 124 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Del Mar 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 94 par31/07C8OR 94C6 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Santa Anita 09/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 96 · 1m1f Fm 126 · beat its mark09/10/2026 · OR 96 par9/10C8OR 96projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09Santa AnitaJoel Rosario?1st3rd−2
2026-08-22Del MarFlorent Geroux?9th9th0
2026-07-31Del MarJoe Bravo?2nd4th−2
2026-07-05Los Alamitos RacecourseKazushi Kimura?6th6th0
2026-06-15Santa AnitaRicardo Gonzalez?9th8th+1
2025-09-20Los Alamitos RacecourseDiego Herrera?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0620/0931/079/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength75%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
03/08/20253rd25/10%82%+0.82
24/08/20256th10/147%44%-0.03
20/09/20255th7/163%43%-0.20
15/06/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
05/07/20266th11/271%29%-0.42
31/07/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35
22/08/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
09/10/20261st2/598%100%+0.02