
Sogno Di Vino
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Santa Anita | Joel Rosario | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | Florent Geroux | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | Joe Bravo | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | Ricardo Gonzalez | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Diego Herrera | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |