2
Typhoon Tommy
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 67
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | Edgar Payeras | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | Edgar Payeras | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | Edgar Payeras | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | Edgar Payeras | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | Edgar Payeras | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |