Mirahmadi
5yo Horse · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 100
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Del Mar | Mike Smith | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | Juan Hernandez | ? | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Del Mar | Juan Hernandez | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2025-01-04 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 12/10/2024 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 23/11/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 04/01/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/03/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |