3

Mr. Disrespectful

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 100

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 29/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 110 · 1m Fas 125 · beat its mark29/12/2025 · OR 110 par29/12C6OR 110BHA113 @ Santa Anita 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 113 · 1m1f Fm 122 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 113 parC6 @ Santa Anita 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 97 par5/06C6OR 97C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 6f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 7f 126 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 89 par5/07C7OR 89C5 @ Del Mar 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Del Mar 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 105 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 105 par29/08C6OR 105C5 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 106 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 106 parC7 @ Santa Anita 10/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 104 · 7f Fas 125 · below its mark10/10/2026 · OR 104 par10/10C7OR 104projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10Santa AnitaArmando Ayuso?3rd4th−1
2026-09-19Los Alamitos RacecourseArmando Ayuso?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-29Del MarArmando Ayuso?4th4th0
2026-08-01Del MarArmando Ayuso?6th5th+1
2026-07-05Los Alamitos RacecourseKazushi Kimura?1st2nd−1
2026-06-19Los Alamitos RacecourseArmando Ayuso?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1219/0629/0810/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength8%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/12/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
17/01/20268th2/189%0%-0.89
05/06/20267th5/174%0%-0.74
19/06/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
05/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
01/08/20266th7/282%0%-0.82
29/08/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
19/09/20263rd9/153%50%-0.03
10/10/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24