Speedy Wilson
4yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 110
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | Joel Rosario | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | Armando Ayuso | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Ricardo Gonzalez | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |