4

Opus Uno

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 88

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 01/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS1/06C6C9 @ Del Mar 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 47 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 47 parC7 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 21/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 65 par21/09C7OR 65C7 @ Santa Anita 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 75 parC6 @ Del Mar 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 88 · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 88 par2/11C6OR 88C6 @ Oaklawn Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 100 · 1m Fas 114 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 100 parC8 @ Del Mar 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 89 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 89 par27/08C8OR 89C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 81 parC7 @ Santa Anita 02/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 83 par2/10C7OR 83projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02Santa AnitaJoel Rosario?6th6th0
2026-09-11Los Alamitos RacecourseTyler Baze?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-27Del MarJoe Bravo?5th6th−1
2026-01-03Oaklawn ParkRamon Vazquez?4th3rd+1
2025-11-02Del MarHector Berrios?2nd1st+1
2025-10-18Santa AnitaHector Berrios?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0618/1027/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20256th14/126%17%-0.10
05/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
21/09/20253rd4/179%71%-0.08
18/10/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
02/11/20252nd16/116%83%+0.68
03/01/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
27/08/20265th7/163%0%-0.63
11/09/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
02/10/20266th13/266%29%-0.37