Estrella Esmeral
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 55
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Cristobal Herrera | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Del Mar | Adrian Escobedo | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | Welfin Orantes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-27 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Edgar Payeras | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Santa Anita | Pedro Flores | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |