4

Icecream Ontheside

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 75

Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS31/05C6C6 @ Santa Anita 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 66 par13/06C6OR 66C6 @ Del Mar 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 63 par30/07C6OR 63C6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 66 par7/09C6OR 66C6 @ Santa Anita 19/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/10/2026 · OR 70 par19/10C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-19Santa AnitaManuel Americano?7th4th+3
2026-09-07Del MarKyle Frey?8th5th+3
2026-07-30Del MarCesar Belmont?4th1st+3
2026-06-13Santa AnitaCesar Belmont?5th2nd+3
2026-05-31Santa AnitaCesar Belmont?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0513/0630/077/0919/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
13/06/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
30/07/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
07/09/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
19/10/20267th40/10%33%+0.33