Shemakesmemad
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 69
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Santa Anita | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Del Mar | A Fresu | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Jeremy Laprida | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | Tyler Baze | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 16/10/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |