3
Zayda At The Spa
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 68
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Santa Anita | Victor Espinoza | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Edgar Payeras | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Del Mar | Victor Espinoza | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Del Mar | Victor Espinoza | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +20.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 16/10/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |