
Imaboutago
5yo Mare · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 103
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Joel Rosario | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | Armando Ayuso | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | Mirco Demuro | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 29% | -0.61 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/10/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |