7

Lino's Angel

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 84

Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 21/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 80 par21/02C6OR 80C6 @ Santa Anita 27/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Fm 122 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 80 parC5 @ Santa Anita 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 76 par4/04C5OR 76C5 @ Santa Anita 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 82 parC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 85 · 1m 118 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 85 par5/07C6OR 85C5 @ Del Mar 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 85 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Del Mar 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m 118 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 89 par6/08C6OR 89C6 @ Del Mar 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 95 parC0 @ Santa Anita 12/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f110y 11412/10C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-12Santa AnitaJose Valdivia Jr?5th5th0
2026-09-04Del MarWelfin Orantes?5th5th0
2026-08-06Del MarArmando Aguilar?3rd3rd0
2026-07-25Del MarArmando Aguilar?5th4th+1
2026-07-05Los Alamitos RacecourseArmando Aguilar?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Santa AnitaTyler Baze?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0223/056/0812/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
27/03/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
04/04/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
23/05/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
05/07/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
25/07/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
06/08/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
04/09/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
12/10/20265th33/10%33%+0.33