1
Street Swindler
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 93
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Del Mar | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Del Mar | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +54.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |