2
Factor P
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 83
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Armando Ayuso | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Del Mar | Armando Ayuso | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Armando Ayuso | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Del Mar | Diego Herrera | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |