Jasmina
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 87
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kyle Frey | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | Kyle Frey | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-04 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/09/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |