9
Meridian Mae
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 74
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-17 | Santa Anita | Armando Aguilar | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 17/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |