Redheaded Reba
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 96
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Del Mar | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | Hector Berrios | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Tiago Pereira | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Santa Anita | Tiago Pereira | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | Tiago Pereira | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 24/08/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 02/10/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |