9
Konquistador
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Toulouse · Prix Face Time Bourbon - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | M X Charlot | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-26 | Toulouse | M X Charlot | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | M X Charlot | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-11-11 | Lyon La Soie | F Giard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-10-25 | Strasbourg | F Giard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-08-12 | Hyeres | D Bekaert | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +29.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2023 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.07 |
| 12/01/2024 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |