12
Kourane La Chenaie
6yo Mare · 10-1
Toulouse · Prix Face Time Bourbon - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | Th Martiniere | 7 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Mlle M Collet | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | Mlle M Collet | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | Mlle M Collet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-14 | Toulouse | Mlle M Collet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Toulouse | Mlle M Collet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 23/05/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.31 |
| 23/07/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 05/09/2024 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |