14
Ladiva De Villabon
5yo Filly · 9-10
Toulouse · Prix Face Time Bourbon - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | V Cabos | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | V Cabos | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | P Geray | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | D Bonne | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | Mlle E Callier | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-31 | Vincennes | M Champenois | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 07/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |