11
Lewis D'evron
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Toulouse · Prix Face Time Bourbon - Monte · 1m 6f 146y
#1
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Toulouse | D Laisis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | D Laisis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | D Laisis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | D Laisis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | D Laisis | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | D Laisis | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 15-15 · tight 90/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 21/06/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |