Katchina Duem
6yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 6
Toulouse · Prix Gilles Daux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | M Abrivard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | J Chavatte | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | J Chavatte | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | J Chavatte | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2025-01-31 | Toulouse | J Chavatte | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-01-04 | Toulouse | J Chavatte | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 04/01/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 31/01/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |