12

Kathy Du Perche

6yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 12

Toulouse · Prix Gilles Daux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#3

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 31/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 031/01C?C0 @ Amiens 22/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 08/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 01/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 05/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f219y Std 05/07C?C0 @ Langon-Libourne 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Toulouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS5/0656 @ Agen 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 14/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 014/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Beaumont-De-LomagneM X Charlot?10th10th0
2026-06-20AgenF Marty66th6th0
2026-06-05ToulouseM X Charlot56th5th+1
2025-07-29Langon-LibourneM X Charlot?5th5th0
2025-07-05VichyM X Charlot?3rd3rd0
2025-04-01Lyon-ParillyD Bekaert?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/011/045/0614/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-15 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength38%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20257th33/10%50%+0.50
22/02/20252nd18/15%92%+0.86
08/03/20254th8/158%80%+0.22
01/04/20257th3/184%50%-0.34
05/07/20253rd18/15%86%+0.80
29/07/20255th20/10%64%+0.64
05/06/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
20/06/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
14/09/202610th50/10%25%+0.25