3

Killem
6yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 3
Toulouse · Prix Gilles Daux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Toulouse | T Vlaemynck Debost | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Toulouse | T Vlaemynck Debost | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | A Omrani | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | Cedric Terry | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Graignes | Cedric Terry | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Enghien | L Guenet | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 14/08/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/08/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 11/10/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |