5
Kinder Du Bourgeat
6yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 5
Toulouse · Prix Gilles Daux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | Toulouse | N Mathias | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-11-20 | Toulouse | N Mathias | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-10-28 | Toulouse | N Mathias | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-20 | Toulouse | N Mathias | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-01-23 | Toulouse | N Mathias | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-01-09 | Toulouse | N Mathias | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +17.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2024 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 23/01/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/10/2024 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |