10
Hapuna Beach
9yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 10
Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | A Sinenberg | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | M Prat | 7 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-13 | Cholet | Ch Boisnard | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Maure De Bretagne | Ch Boisnard | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-07-13 | Les Sables | A Barrier | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2023-11-21 | Vincennes | Ch Boisnard | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2022 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |
| 27/06/2023 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 07/08/2023 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 21/11/2023 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 13/07/2024 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 23/04/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/05/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/04/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.08 |