6

Hermence Dairpet

9yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 6

Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#6

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 027/12C?C0 @ Toulouse 08/02/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 27/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 027/03C?C0 @ Agen 31/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 24/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 024/08C?6 @ Toulouse 22/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Agen 03/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 03/03C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 17/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 04 @ Toulouse 18/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS18/094projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18ToulouseJ Mazou413th11th+2
2026-05-17Beaumont-De-LomagneJ M Freyssenge?10th10th0
2026-03-03AgenJ M Freyssenge?3rd3rd0
2026-01-22ToulouseL Beaumont67th7th0
2025-08-24Beaumont-De-LomagneJ Mazou?3rd3rd0
2025-05-31AgenJ Mazou?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1231/053/0318/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20248th28/10%53%+0.53
08/02/202513th25/10%14%+0.14
27/03/20259th50/10%47%+0.47
31/05/20257th66/10%57%+0.57
24/08/20253rd50/10%85%+0.85
22/01/20267th28/10%54%+0.54
03/03/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
17/05/202610th18/15%36%+0.30
18/09/202613th80/10%20%+0.20