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15

I Love Gabinlea

8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 15

Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#2

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

26%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 18/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 018/05C?C0 @ Agen 31/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Agen 21/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 021/06C?C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 26/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Agen 18/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 018/11C?5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 017/05C?5 @ Agen 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Hyeres 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 016/06C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29ChatelaillonF Julien?0
2026-06-16HyeresM Gergouil?4th4th0
2026-05-30AgenV Cabos59th8th+1
2026-05-17Beaumont-De-LomagneB Candelle-gardenq?5th5th0
2026-01-22ToulouseM Potier60
2026-01-08Bordeaux Le BouscatM Grasset510th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0526/1017/0516/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/202511th66/10%29%+0.29
31/05/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
21/06/20252nd16/116%92%+0.77
26/10/20257th20/10%50%+0.50
18/11/20253rd11/142%87%+0.45
08/01/202610th20/10%36%+0.36
17/05/20265th25/10%71%+0.71
30/05/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
16/06/20264th40/10%70%+0.70