13

Iconoclaste Erable

8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 13

Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 16/06/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 016/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2023 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2023 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/01/2024 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/01/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 022/01C?C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 11/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 011/07C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 04 @ Toulouse 18/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS18/094projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18ToulouseF Clozier412th10th+2
2025-08-24Beaumont-De-LomagneCedric Terry?4th4th0
2025-07-11CabourgD Thomain?4th4th0
2025-07-03LisieuxD Thomain?2nd2nd0
2024-01-22VincennesD Thomain?3rd3rd0
2024-01-09VincennesD Thomain?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/069/0111/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength12%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20231st2/189%100%+0.11
01/08/20232nd7/282%92%+0.11
26/08/20231st5/174%100%+0.26
09/01/202410th33/10%36%+0.36
22/01/20243rd14/126%85%+0.58
03/07/20252nd7/282%94%+0.12
11/07/20254th3/184%79%-0.06
24/08/20254th11/486%77%-0.09
18/09/202612th33/10%27%+0.27