4
Invincible Bourbon
8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 4
Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Les Sables | M Abrivard | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | F Clozier | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Chatelaillon | F Corbineau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | P Besson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Chatelaillon | O Raffin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 79% | -0.14 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 14/07/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 19/10/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |