IvyArcIvyArc
7

Jolie Queen

7yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 7

Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength24%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/04C?5 @ Graignes 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Agen 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 143 · HIGHER CLASS30/0546 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/06C?C0 @ Pornichet 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 015/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 05 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS15/085projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Meslay Du MaineA Omrani55th4th+1
2026-08-07CabourgCedric Terry?9th9th0
2026-07-23MauquenchyR Lamy5+1
2026-07-15LisieuxCedric Terry?3rd3rd0
2026-07-08PornichetCedric Terry?4th4th0
2026-06-27EnghienGuillaume Martin?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0418/0615/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20268th33/10%53%+0.53
22/05/20264th28/10%63%+0.63
30/05/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
18/06/20269th40/10%43%+0.43
27/06/20265th18/15%64%+0.58
08/07/20264th28/10%80%+0.80
15/07/20263rd18/15%85%+0.79
07/08/20269th33/10%47%+0.47
15/08/20265th20/10%56%+0.56