11
Jorphea D'espoir
7yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 11
Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Les Sables | Christopher Corbineau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | M Constantin | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | M Constantin | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | A Barrier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | Christopher Corbineau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | Christopher Corbineau | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 19/10/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |