3
Utah Southwind
7yo Horse · 0-0 · Draw 3
Toulouse · Prix Jean Et Robert Bordenave - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | Vincennes | P Y Verva | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | D Thomain | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | D Thomain | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 09/10/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/10/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |