9
Leila Du Chatelet
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 9
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | M Auvray | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Toulouse | M Auvray | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Vincennes | M Abrivard | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Toulouse | M Auvray | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | M Auvray | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Toulouse | N Brun | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/01/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 36% | -0.52 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |