3

Libertine Ecajeul
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 3
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#16
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Toulouse | A Honore | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | A Honore | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | A Honore | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | A Honore | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | Ch Feyte | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | G Toque | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 06/06/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 12/10/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/10/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |