13
Lilas Metis
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 13
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#14
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | J Asselie | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-09 | Agen | J Asselie | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-28 | Lyon-Parilly | J Asselie | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Vichy | J Asselie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Lyon La Soie | J ch Piton | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-04-15 | Lyon-Parilly | J Asselie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2023 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 15/04/2024 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 19/06/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |