5
Lisa Du Vignac
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 5
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | D Laisis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | D Laisis | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | D Laisis | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-15 | Langon-Libourne | D Laisis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-04 | Toulouse | D Laisis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-23 | Agen | D Laisis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 20/12/2024 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 16/01/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 23/03/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.36 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.10 |