8
Lorette Up Star
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 8
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | Th Dromigny | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | A Andre | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | M Goetz | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | E Raffin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | H Baumer | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | A Andre | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 07/09/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |